Mar 29, 2026 11.30pm

Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

W
W
W
D
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
W
D
W
W

Last game

Mar 25, 2026 11.30pm

Boston River 0 - 2 Penarol

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

D
W
W
W
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 26, 2026 4.00pm

Racing 1 - 1 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw has a probability of 27.68% and a win for Racing de Montevideo has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.15%) , while for a Racing de Montevideo win it is 0-1 (8.51%).

Result

Penarol 47.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 27.68%

Racing de Montevideo 24.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

47.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.31%

Under 1.5 31.69%

Over 2.5 42.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 57.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 21.39%

Under 3.5 78.61%

Over 4.5 11.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 88.86% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Penarol 35.9% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 42.6%

Racing de Montevideo 21.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Penarol 55.22%

No Goal 9.53%

Racing de Montevideo 35.25%

Corners

Over 8 57.37% ▼ (-0.20)

Equal 8 11.54% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 8 31.09% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 9 45.65% ▼ (-0.14)

Equal 9 11.72% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 9 42.63% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 10.5 34.73% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 10.5 65.27% ▲ (+0.07)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 40.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 59.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 16.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 83.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 94.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 58.27% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 41.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 23.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 76.98% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 6.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 93.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 1.65%

Under 3.5 98.35%

Score analysis

Penarol 47.95%

Draw 27.68%

Racing de Montevideo 24.35%

Penarol

1-0 @ 13.63%

2-1 @ 9.51%

2-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 4.19%

3-1 @ 4.08%

3-2 @ 2.18%

Other @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 47.95%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.15%

0-0 @ 9.53%

2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 27.68%

Racing de Montevideo

0-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5.82%

0-2 @ 3.99%

1-3 @ 1.82%

2-3 @ 1.3%

0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.64%

Total : 24.35%

Head to Head

Aug 31, 2025 10.00pm

1

4

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 9, 2025 10.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Javier Mendez 20'
Maximiliano Silvera 35'
Rodrigo Perez 51'

Robinson Ferreira 42'
Lucas Monzon 68'
Lucas Monzon 74'

Oct 1, 2024 12.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 31'
Gaston Ramirez 31'
Lucas Hernandez 70'
Lucas Hernandez 70'
Jaime Baez 77'

Agustin Alaniz 15'
Agustin Alaniz 15'
Agustin Pereira 90'+1'
Agustin Pereira 90'+1'

Jun 16, 2024 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 42'
Matheus Babi 51'
Javier Cabrera 54'
Leo Coelho 87'

Agustin Alaniz 44'
Santiago Mederos 61'
Dylan Nandin 74'
Rodrigo Odriozola 85'
Robinson Ferreira 90'+8'

Mar 16, 2024 10.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Erik De Los Santos 18'
Jose Varela 63'
Rodrigo Odriozola 68'
Tomas Veron 72'
Juan Rivero 83'
Santiago Mederos 90'+1'
Lucas Monzon 90'+6'

Leonardo Sequeira 19'
Camilo Mayada 34'
Leonardo Sequeira 39'
Leonardo Sequeira 66'
Eduardo Darias 70'

Dec 2, 2023 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Matias Arezo 53'
Lucas Hernandez 56'
Matias Arezo 71'

Hugo Magallanes 11'
Lucas Lemos 53'
Luis Mejia 72'
Tomas Veron 75'
Urreta 76'

Form Data

Boston River 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Albion 0 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio

Nacional 0 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 1 Maldonado

Racing 1 - 1 Progreso

Racing 1 - 0 Liverpool

Boston River 0 - 1 Racing

Racing 1 - 0 Cerro

Boston River 1 - 0 Racing

Albion 1 - 3 Racing