Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Alejo Cruz 19' goal
  • Gonzalo Gómez 32' goal
  • Mateo Izaguirre 53' goal
  • Agustín Alaniz 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Chagas 62' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Pérez 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Larregui 81' yellowcard
  • Patricio Pernicone 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 34'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 46'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 49'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 67'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 67'

Juventud vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 2 - 1 Juventud

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 0 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.99%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Juventud win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Juventud 20.26% (-0.05)
Draw 26.95% (-0.02)
Nacional 52.74% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.55% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.39% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 61% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.64% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.28% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.72% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Juventud 20.49% (-0.06)
Draw 42.97% (+0.01)
Nacional 36.54% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Juventud 30.86% (-0.04)
No Goal 10.81% (-0.01)
Nacional 58.33% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.32% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 36.68% (+0.03)
Over 9 39.71% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 48.68% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 29.36% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.64% (+0.02)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 18.1% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 81.9% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.46% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.54% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.01%
Under 3.5 98.99%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 75.98%
Under 0.5 24.02%
Over 1.5 42.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.93% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.47% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.05%
Under 3.5 93.95%

Score analysis

Juventud 20.25%
Draw 26.96%
Nacional 52.75%
Juventud
1-0 @ 8% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 10.81% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.96%
Nacional
0-1 @ 15.54%
0-2 @ 10.99% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-3 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 6.04%
Total : 52.75%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 19, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 17' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 24' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rodrigo Rodriguez Magliano 28' goal
  • Romulo Otero 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 50' goal
  • Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 72' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Rossi 21'
  • yellowcard Facundo Nahuel Perez Bertinat 38'
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Diego Polenta 4' redcard
  • Lucas Morales 62' goal
  • Luis Mejia 78' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 20'
  • yellowcard Angel David Morosini Pereira 61'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Chagas 90'+3'
  • goal Rodrigo Chagas 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Franco Munoz 6' yellowcard
  • Juan Mathias Bogado 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 45'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 48'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 84'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 25, 2019 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 43'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Bergessio 54'
  • yellowcard Felipe Carvalho 88'
  • goal Mathias Cardacio 93'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 1, 2019 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matias Zunino 42' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 72' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 84' goal
  • Mathias Cardacio 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Navarro 89'