Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventud win was 0-1 (9.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.