Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.31% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (4.91%).