Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.32% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%) , while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 1-2 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.