Copa Libertadores
May 14, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Fernando Pacheco 20' yellowcard
  • Fernando Pacheco 20' yellowcard
  • Rafael Lutiger 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafael Lutiger 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Chavez 53' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Chavez 53' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 70' yellowcard
  • Jostin Alarcon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Jostin Alarcon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 6'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 6'
  • goal Juan Iturbe 14'
  • goal Juan Iturbe 14'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Torres 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Torres 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 53'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 53'
  • redcard Jonathan Torres 83'
  • redcard Jonathan Torres 83'

Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 8, 2025 3.00am
Cristal 2 - 1 Bolivar

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 8, 2025 1.30am
Cerro Porteno 0 - 2 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Cristal 49.99% (-0.03)
Draw 24.89% (-0.01)
Cerro Porteno 25.12% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.29% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.84% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.15% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.88% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.12% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.23% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.77% (-0.02)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 79.92% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.07% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.69% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.31% (+0.01)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5 65.42% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.57% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.7% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.29% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 49.99%
Draw 24.88%
Cerro Porteno 25.12%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 24.88%
Cerro Porteno
0-1 @ 7.37%
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.12%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Wilder Viera 15' yellowcard
  • Wilder Viera 15' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 30' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 30' yellowcard
  • Cecilio Dominguez 42' goal
  • Cecilio Dominguez 42' goal
  • Federico Carrizo 44' goal
  • Federico Carrizo 44' goal
  • Cecilio Dominguez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Cecilio Dominguez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutiger 36'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutiger 36'
  • goal Santiago Emanuel Gonzalez 37'
  • goal Santiago Emanuel Gonzalez 37'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 67'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 67'
  • goal Rafael Lutiger 90'+2'
  • goal Rafael Lutiger 90'+2'