/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fpallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fcrilog.png)
-
Estevao Willian
32'
-
Estevao Willian
32'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
39'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
39'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
39'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
39'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
45'+2'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
45'+2'
-
Raphael Veiga
64'
-
Raphael Veiga
64'
-
Paulinho
71'
-
Paulinho
71'
-
Allan Andrade Elias
78'
-
Allan Andrade Elias
78'
-
Facundo Torres
80'
-
Facundo Torres
80'
-
Martin Tavara
49'
-
Martin Tavara
49'
-
Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal
69'
-
Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal
69'
-
Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez
78'
-
Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez
78'
Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Festevao-willian.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result
Palmeiras
70.97%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
17.39%
▲
(+0.17)
Sporting Cristal
11.63%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
50.73%
▼
(-0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.99%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 2.5
39.01%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 3.5
38.67%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 3.5
61.33%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 4.5
21.08%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 4.5
78.92%
▲
(+0.68)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5
90.23%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
9.77%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
67.5%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
32.5%
▲
(+0.58)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5
56.22%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 0.5
43.78%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 1.5
20.06%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 1.5
79.94%
▲
(+0.46)
Score analysis
Palmeiras
70.96%
Draw
17.39%
Sporting Cristal
11.63%
Palmeiras
2-0
@
11.56%
▲
(+0.18)
1-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 70.96%
1-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 70.96%
Draw
1-1
@
8.22%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.39%
0-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.39%
Sporting Cristal
0-1
@
3.53%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.63%
1-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.63%
Head to Head
-
Jesus Pretell
12'
-
Leandro Sosa
45'
-
Jesus Pretell
67'
-
Catriel Cabellos
75'
-
Martin Tavara
83'
-
Estevao Willian
38'
-
Vitor Roque
45'+1'
-
Emiliano Martinez
57'
-
Bruno Fuchs
61'
-
Joaquin Piquerez
82'
-
Richard Rios
90'+2'