/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fpallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fflalog.png)
-
Gustavo Gomez
19'
-
Jose Manuel Lopez
89'
-
Murilo Cerqueira
90'+3'
-
Joaquin Piquerez
90'+8'
-
Agustin Rossi
17'
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
73'
-
Ayrton Lucas
87'
-
Wallace Yan de Souza Barreto
90'
Palmeiras vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F21%2Ffilipe-luis.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
Result
Palmeiras
40.37%
▲
(+1.20)
Draw
26.74%
▼
(-0.10)
Flamengo
32.88%
▼
(-1.11)
Both Teams to Score:
51.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.26%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
53.74%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 3.5
24.78%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
75.22%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
11.22%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
88.78%
▼
(-0.09)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5
73.86%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 0.5
26.14%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 1.5
38.78%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 1.5
61.21%
▼
(-0.97)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
69.38%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
30.62%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
33.14%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
66.86%
▲
(+0.77)
Score analysis
Palmeiras
40.37%
Draw
26.74%
Flamengo
32.88%
Palmeiras
1-0
@
10.73%
▲
(+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.37%
2-1 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.37%
Draw
1-1
@
12.71%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.74%
0-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.74%
Flamengo
0-1
@
9.47%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.88%
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.88%
Head to Head
-
Abel Ferreira
0'
-
Abel Ferreira
0'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
7'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
7'
-
Tite
46'
-
Tite
46'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
45'+2'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
45'+2'
-
Pedro
62'
-
Pedro
62'
-
David Luiz
77'
-
David Luiz
77'
Copa do Brasil
-
Erick Pulgar
32'
-
Erick Pulgar
32'
-
Pedro
57'
-
Pedro
57'
-
Luiz Araujo
72'
-
Luiz Araujo
72'
-
Raphael Veiga
34'
-
Raphael Veiga
34'
-
Gustavo Gomez
42'
-
Gustavo Gomez
42'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
80'
-
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
80'
-
Lazaro
82'
-
Lazaro
82'