Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.82%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Juventud win was 1-0 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.