Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Juventud win was 1-2 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.