Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.