Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 13, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte
Boston River logo

Nacional
3 - 0
Boston River

Gaspar Diellos (54', 70'), Alberto Preciado Torres (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (49'), Acosta (74'), Lemos (90+2')
Gonzalez (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional Potosi

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Guarani
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Boston River

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boston River 1-5 Independiente
Wednesday, May 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawBoston River
62.53% (0.16 0.16)20.92% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)16.54% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.97% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (0.162 0.16)44.15% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (0.157 0.16)66.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (0.102 0.1)13.52% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.41% (0.19799999999999 0.2)40.58% (-0.194 -0.19)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.9% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)76.56% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 62.52%
    Boston River 16.54%
    Draw 20.92%
Nacional PotosiDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.92%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 16.54%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Boston River
2-1
Nacional
Albarracin (57'), Martinez (70')
Gutierrez (45'), Viera (90+1')
Torrico Franco (21')
Felipe Palacio Mosquera (39')
Felipe Palacio Mosquera (50')