Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.