Boston River logo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Boston River
2 - 1
Nacional

Albarracin (57'), Martinez (70')
Gutierrez (45'), Viera (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torrico Franco (21')
Felipe Palacio Mosquera (39')
Felipe Palacio Mosquera (50')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boston River and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 1-2 Boston River
Friday, April 18 at 6pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Guarani 2-0 Nacional
Friday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawNacional Potosi
39.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)27.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)33.55% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.12% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)76.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.75% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)63.33% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (0.013999999999996 0.01)31.18% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 39.15%
    Nacional Potosi 33.55%
    Draw 27.28%
Boston RiverDrawNacional Potosi
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 39.15%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.55%

rhs 2.0


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