Copa Libertadores
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Alejo Cruz 64' yellowcard
  • Fernando Mimbacas 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Larregui 74' goal
  • goal Enzo Larrosa 32'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 76'
  • yellowcard Francisco Chaverra 76'
  • yellowcard Luis Escorcia 86'

Juventud vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions

Independiente Medellin

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Juventud win was 1-0 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Juventud 29.04% (-0.02)
Draw 27.06%
Independiente Medellin 43.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.9% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.16% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 55.84% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 24.22%
Under 3.5 75.78%
Over 4.5 13.27% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.73% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Juventud 23.2%
Draw 47.91%
Independiente Medellin 28.9%

Team To Score First

Juventud 38.62% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.34% (+0.02)
Independiente Medellin 52.04% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.2% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 39.94% (+0.04)
Over 9 36.98% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 51.8% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.2% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 72.8% (+0.05)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 27.81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.19% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.88% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.12% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.03%
Under 3.5 96.97%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.73% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.29% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.97%
Under 2.5 84.03%
Over 3.5 5.48% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.52% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Juventud 29.04%
Draw 27.07%
Independiente Medellin 43.89%
Juventud
1-0 @ 8.93% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 9.34% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.07%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 12.39%
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 5.39% (+0.01)
Total : 43.89%