Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Matías Espíndola 30' goal
  • Nicolás Fuica 32' yellowcard
  • Adrian Vila 32' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 38' goal
  • Sebastián González 77' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramírez 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Vila 84' yellowcard
  • Guillermo López 85' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Mimbacas 20'
  • yellowcard Alejo Cruz 59'
  • yellowcard Leonel Roldán 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Guerrero 75'
  • yellowcard Mateo Izaguirre 75'
  • yellowcard Martín Boselli 84'

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 11.30pm
Penarol 2 - 1 Maldonado

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 8.00pm
Juventud 0 - 1 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.21% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 28.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.69%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 41.99% (+0.06)
Draw 29.21%
Juventud 28.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.57% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 41.92% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.08% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.53% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.47% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.78% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.22% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 29.55%
Draw 47.64%
Juventud 22.81%

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 48.5% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.94% (+0.01)
Juventud 41.56%

Corners

Over 8 55.29% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 32.65% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.24% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 44.71% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 32.22%
Under 10.5 67.78%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 37.2%
Under 1.5 62.8%
Over 2.5 13.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.21% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.79% (+0.03)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 62.79% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.21% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 26.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.11% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.24% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.76% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.1% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.9% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 41.98%
Draw 29.19%
Juventud 28.8%
Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.97% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 4.19% (-0.01)
Total : 41.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.69%
0-0 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 29.19%
Juventud
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.08% (-0.01)
Total : 28.8%