Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.21% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.69%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.