Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.78% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (8.71%).