Copa Libertadores
Mar 13, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellin vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
Juventud 1 - 1 Medellin

Juventud

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
Juventud 1 - 1 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw has a probability of 25.49% and a win for Juventud has a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Juventud win it is 0-1 (7.96%).

Result

Independiente Medellin 52.5% (-0.11)
Draw 25.49%
Juventud 21.97% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.99%
Under 1.5 30.01%
Over 2.5 44.72%
Under 2.5 55.28%
Over 3.5 23.81% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.19% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.31% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.69% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Independiente Medellin 36.85%
Draw 42.74%
Juventud 20.41%

Team To Score First

Independiente Medellin 57.36% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.73% (-0.02)
Juventud 33.91% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.43%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 38.13% (+0.02)
Over 9 39.4%
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 49.57%
Over 10.5 29.6% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.4% (-0.01)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 1.5 45.25% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.75% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 20.66% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.34% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.65% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.35% (+0.01)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 55.36% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 44.64% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 21.17% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 78.83% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.85% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.15% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.41% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.59% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 52.5%
Draw 25.49%
Juventud 21.97%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.28% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.64% (-0.02)
Total : 52.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.49%
Juventud
0-1 @ 7.96% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.4% (+0.03)
Total : 21.97%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Alejo Cruz 64' yellowcard
  • Fernando Mimbacas 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Larregui 74' goal
  • goal Enzo Larrosa 32'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 76'
  • yellowcard Francisco Chaverra 76'
  • yellowcard Luis Escorcia 86'