Copa Libertadores
Mar 13, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Hayen Palacios 14' goal
  • Leyser Chaverra 46' yellowcard
  • John Edwin Montaño 46' yellowcard
  • Esneyder Mena 60' yellowcard
  • Francisco Chaverra 77' yellowcard
  • Francisco Fydriszewski 82' goal
  • yellowcard Martín Cáceres 16'
  • goal Federico Barrandeguy 25'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Peralta 58'
  • yellowcard Alejo Cruz 58'
  • yellowcard Fernando Mimbacas 82'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Gómez 82'

Independiente Medellin vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
Juventud 1 - 1 Medellin

Juventud

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
Juventud 1 - 1 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.46% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Medellin 52.47% (+0.04)
Draw 25.46%
Juventud 22.08% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 29.92% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 44.76% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 55.24% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 23.75% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 76.25% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 13.26% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 86.74% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Independiente Medellin 36.85%
Draw 42.74%
Juventud 20.41%

Team To Score First

Independiente Medellin 57.38% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.7% (+0.03)
Juventud 33.92% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.46% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.44% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.1% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.43% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 49.54% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 29.62% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.38% (-0.03)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 1.5 45.23% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.77% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 20.62% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.38% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.62% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.38% (+0.04)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 55.49% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 44.51% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 21.25% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.75% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 5.88% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.12% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.59% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 52.46%
Draw 25.47%
Juventud 22.08%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.25% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.79% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.17% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.61% (-0.05)
Total : 52.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.47%
Juventud
0-1 @ 7.98% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.4% (-0.03)
Total : 22.08%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 6, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Alejo Cruz 64' yellowcard
  • Fernando Mimbacas 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Larregui 74' goal
  • goal Enzo Larrosa 32'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 76'
  • yellowcard Francisco Chaverra 76'
  • yellowcard Luis Escorcia 86'