Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.58% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.62%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.