Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 25, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Juventud 0 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Juventud win with a probability of 34.93%. A win for Cerro has a probability of 34.64% and a draw has a probability of 30.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Cerro win is 1-0 (12.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.79%).

Result

Cerro 34.64% (+0.10)
Draw 30.42%
Juventud 34.93% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.01% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.5%
Under 1.5 36.5%
Over 2.5 36.78% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 63.17%
Over 3.5 17.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 82.05% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.88% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.12% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Cerro 27.7%
Draw 47.75%
Juventud 24.55%

Team To Score First

Cerro 45.84%
No Goal 11.98%
Juventud 42.18%

Corners

Over 8 34.8% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.34% (+0.06)
Under 8 53.86% (-0.03)
Over 9 25.19% (-0.08)
Equal 9 9.61% (+0.04)
Under 9 65.2% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 17.64% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 82.36% (+0.10)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 28.47% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.53% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.88% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 91.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.42% (-0.02)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 64.16% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.84% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.85% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.15% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 10.17% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.17% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro 34.64%
Draw 30.43%
Juventud 34.95%
Cerro
1-0 @ 12.57% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 6.66% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.52% (+0.02)
Total : 34.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.98%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 30.43%
Juventud
0-1 @ 11.97% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.77% (-0.01)
Total : 34.95%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 31, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 36' yellowcard
  • Maximo Alonso 55' goal
  • Axel Emilio Frugone Marotta 57' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 80' goal
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 33'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rodriguez 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 22, 2019 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Mieres 3' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Reyes 11' goal
  • Joaquin Zeballos 22' goal
  • Joaquin Zeballos 33' goal
  • Gonzalo Gonzalez 58' yellowcard
  • Gaston Vitancurt 86' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Pellejero 18'
  • yellowcard Felipe Klein 43'
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 68'
  • goal Diego Casas 73'
  • goal Jose Tancredi 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 18, 2019 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Felipe Klein 48' yellowcard
  • Marcos Paulo 66' yellowcard
  • Santiago Viera 82' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Garcia 33'
  • yellowcard Mathias Bogado 40'