Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 25, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Mateo Argüello 46' yellowcard
  • Bruno Morales 60' yellowcard
  • Brahian Alemán 60' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lima 67' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lima 74' goal
  • Pablo Nongoy 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gastón Pereiro 53'
  • yellowcard Mateo Izaguirre 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lago 61'
  • yellowcard Fernando Mimbacas 77'
  • yellowcard Renzo Rabino 77'

Cerro vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Juventud 0 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 34.92%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 30.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (12.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 34.66% (+0.02)
Draw 30.42%
Juventud 34.92% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.05% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.55% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 36.45% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 36.9% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 63.1% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 17.99% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.01% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.91% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.09% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Cerro 27.77% (+0.08)
Draw 47.81% (+0.07)
Juventud 24.42% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Cerro 45.83% (-0.02)
No Goal 11.96% (-0.02)
Juventud 42.21% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 34.91% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.37% (+0.03)
Under 8 53.72% (-0.15)
Over 9 25.27% (+0.08)
Equal 9 9.64% (+0.04)
Under 9 65.09% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 17.69% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 82.31% (-0.05)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 28.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.94% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.06% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.6% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.4% (-0.02)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 64.16%
Under 0.5 35.84%
Over 1.5 28.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.13% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 10.2% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.8% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.84% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro 34.66%
Draw 30.43%
Juventud 34.91%
Cerro
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.53% (+0.01)
Total : 34.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.96% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 30.43%
Juventud
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 31, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 36' yellowcard
  • Maximo Alonso 55' goal
  • Axel Emilio Frugone Marotta 57' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 80' goal
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 33'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rodriguez 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 22, 2019 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Mieres 3' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Reyes 11' goal
  • Joaquin Zeballos 22' goal
  • Joaquin Zeballos 33' goal
  • Gonzalo Gonzalez 58' yellowcard
  • Gaston Vitancurt 86' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Pellejero 18'
  • yellowcard Felipe Klein 43'
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 68'
  • goal Diego Casas 73'
  • goal Jose Tancredi 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 18, 2019 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Felipe Klein 48' yellowcard
  • Marcos Paulo 66' yellowcard
  • Santiago Viera 82' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Garcia 33'
  • yellowcard Mathias Bogado 40'