Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 11.00pm
Chapecoense 0 - 4 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Dudu

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
Bahia 3 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw has a probability of 25.92% and a win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it is 0-1 (6.91%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 55.2% (+2.49)
Draw 25.92% (-0.42)
Athletico Paranaense 18.85% (-2.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.77% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.26% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 30.74% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 43.66% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 56.34% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 22.16% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.84% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.1% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.9% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 35.36% (+1.79)
Draw 43.45% (+0.23)
Athletico Paranaense 21.2% (-2.00)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 58.06% (+4.50)
No Goal 9.16% (-0.17)
Athletico Paranaense 32.78% (-4.33)

Corners

Over 8 61.61% (-3.11)
Equal 8 11.13% (+0.39)
Under 8 27.26% (+2.74)
Over 9 49.91% (-3.23)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.11)
Under 9 38.39% (+3.11)
Over 10.5 38.65% (-3.07)
Under 10.5 61.35% (+3.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 46.5% (+1.82)
Under 1.5 53.5% (-1.82)
Over 2.5 20.52% (+0.97)
Under 2.5 79.48% (-0.97)
Over 3.5 7.15% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 92.85% (-0.42)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 52.32% (-1.90)
Under 0.5 47.68% (+1.90)
Over 1.5 18.89% (-1.63)
Under 1.5 81.11% (+1.63)
Over 2.5 5.11% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 94.89% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 1.18% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 98.82% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 55.18%
Draw 25.93%
Athletico Paranaense 18.84%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.62% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 10.98% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 5.85% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 4.72% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.02% (+0.37)
Total : 55.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.05)
Total : 25.93%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.59)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.44)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05% (-0.32)
Total : 18.84%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Rubens 73' goal
  • Brahian Palacios 79' yellowcard
  • Everson 90' yellowcard
  • Igor Gomes 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 24'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 55'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Nov 16, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Pablo 18' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 28' goal
  • Nikao 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 27'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 2, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Fernandinho 27' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 29' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 78' goal
  • Fernandinho 82' redcard
  • goal Paulinho 6'
  • yellowcard Everson 59'
  • yellowcard Hulk 74'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 90'+5'
Copa Libertadores
May 23, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Paulinho 68' goal
  • Paulinho 87' goal
  • goal Alex Santana 51'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Hulk 10' goal
  • Hulk 84' goal
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+2'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 19, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 7' goal
  • David Terans 35' goal
  • goal Paulinho 70'