Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Remo 4 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 11.30pm
Athletico PR 4 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw has a probability of 23.67% and a win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.05%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it is 0-1 (5.96%).

Result

Bahia 58.76% (+0.09)
Draw 23.67%
Athletico Paranaense 17.53% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.94% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.4% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 26.6% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.92% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 51.08% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 26.83% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 73.17% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 15.84% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Bahia 40.84% (-0.03)
Draw 38.71% (+0.06)
Athletico Paranaense 20.45% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Bahia 59.45% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.55% (+0.02)
Athletico Paranaense 33% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 63.12% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.8%
Under 8 26.08% (-0.06)
Over 9 51.63% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 36.88% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 40.44% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.56% (-0.04)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 51.9% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.1% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 25.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.55% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.2%
Under 3.5 89.8%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 51.87% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 48.13% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 19.23% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 80.77% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 5.27% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.73% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.28% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bahia 58.76%
Draw 23.66%
Athletico Paranaense 17.53%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.04% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.94% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 10.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.45% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.1%
Total : 58.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.66%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.18% (-0.03)
Total : 17.53%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 24, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Gabriel Teixeira 90'+3' goal
  • Gabriel Xavier 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Nikao 61'
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 72'
  • yellowcard Fernando 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 11.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Fernandinho 36' yellowcard
  • Thiago Heleno 49' yellowcard
  • Lucas Di Yorio 61' goal
  • goal Everaldo Stum 9'
  • goal Gabriel Teixeira 15'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 40'
  • goal Luciano 78'
  • yellowcard Marcos Victor 79'
  • yellowcard Danilo Fernandes 79'
  • yellowcard Rezende 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 12, 2023 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • David Duarte 65' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 73' goal
  • Everaldo Stum 77' yellowcard
  • Kanu 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 29'
  • yellowcard Caca 46'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 71'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 73'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 24' goal
  • Erick 35' goal
Copa do Brasil
Jul 13, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Pablo 60' yellowcard
  • Erick 78' goal
  • Romulo Cardoso 90'+4' goal
  • Romulo Cardoso 90'+4' goal
  • goal Davo 5'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Lhman Xavier 53'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 53'
  • yellowcard Vitor Jacare 67'
Copa do Brasil
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova