Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 29, 2026 11.30pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Stiven Mendoza

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 7.00pm
Bragantino 1 - 2 Botafogo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw has a probability of 24.72% and a win for Botafogo has a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Botafogo win it is 0-1 (6.59%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 54.66% (+0.03)
Draw 24.72% (-0.04)
Botafogo 20.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.82% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.86% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.14% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.97% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 52.03% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 26.34% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.66% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.03% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.97% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 37.25%
Draw 43.6%
Botafogo 19.15%

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 60.6% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.64% (-0.03)
Botafogo 31.76%

Corners

Over 8 59.79% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.83% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.01% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 40.21% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.83%
Under 10.5 63.17%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 48.53% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.47% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.54% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.46% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 8.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.53% (-0.02)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 55.45% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 44.55% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 22.08% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.92% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.73%
Under 3.5 98.27%

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 54.67%
Draw 24.71%
Botafogo 20.62%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.43% (+0.02)
Total : 54.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 24.71%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.62%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Madson 74' yellowcard
  • Kaique Rocha 75' yellowcard
  • goal Igor Jesus 13'
  • yellowcard Gregore 42'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 84'
  • yellowcard Tiquinho 89'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
  • Bastos 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Erick 42'
  • goal Gonzalo Mastriani 53'
  • yellowcard Christian 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 77'
  • yellowcard Pablo 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 90'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 22, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Tiquinho 24' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 49' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaique Rocha 38'
  • goal Pablo 41'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 3, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Alex Santana 42' goal
Copa do Brasil
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
ET Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Tiquinho 17' goal
  • Tiquinho 17' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adryelson 52' goal
  • Vitor Roque 62' goal
  • Erick 90'+5' goal