Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.