Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.78% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%) , while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.