Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 28, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
7 - 0
Nacional

Gabriel Montiel (26', 53'), Tarzia (34'), Loyola (51'), Lautaro Millan (77'), Echeverria (81' og.), Galdames (84')
Lautaro Millan (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baldomar (69'), Alberto Preciado Torres (83')
Alberto Preciado Torres (87')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Huracan (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Nacional Potosi

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Boston River
Tuesday, May 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Nacional Potosi
75.37% ( -0.16)	15.86% ( 0.08)	8.78% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.43% (

-0.13)

40.57% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.05% (

-0.14)

62.95% (

0.13)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

-0.07)

9.12% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.03% (

-0.16)

30.96% (

0.16)

Nacional Potosi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.57% (

0.07)

50.43% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05% (

0.05)

84.95% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Independiente 75.35%

Nacional Potosi 8.78%

Draw 15.86%

Independiente	Draw	Nacional Potosi
2-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 75.35%	1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.86%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 8.78%