Copa Sudamericana
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Santiago Gabriel Montiel
26'
-
Diego Tarzia
34'
-
Felipe Loyola
51'
-
Santiago Gabriel Montiel
53'
-
Giovanni Lautaro Millan
77'
-
Giovanni Lautaro Millan
78'
-
Santiago Echeverria
81'
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Pablo Galdames
84'
-
Oscar Baldomar
69'
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Carlos Alberto Preciado Torres
83'
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Carlos Alberto Preciado Torres
87'
Independiente vs Nacional Potosi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
Result
Independiente
75.37%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
15.86%
▲
(+0.09)
Nacional Potosi
8.78%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
45.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.43%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
40.57%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
37.05%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
62.95%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
19.82%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
80.18%
▲
(+0.11)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5
90.88%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
9.12%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
69.03%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
30.96%
▲
(+0.17)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5
49.57%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
50.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
15.05%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
84.95%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Independiente
75.35%
Draw
15.86%
Nacional Potosi
8.78%
Independiente
2-0
@
13.18%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 75.35%
1-0 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 75.35%
Draw
1-1
@
7.54%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 15.86%
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 15.86%
Nacional Potosi
0-1
@
3.15%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 8.78%
1-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 8.78%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
-
Jorge Rojas
41'
-
Victor Abrego
66'
-
Oscar Baldomar
78'
-
Diego Gaspar Diellos
83'
-
Luis Fernando Pavia Mamani
90'
-
Saidt Mustafa
90'+1'
-
Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
90'
-
Sebastian Valdez
90'+1'