Argentine Primera Division
May 20, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Independiente

Boca Juniors
0 - 1
Independiente


Costa (48'), Costa (48'), Zenon (68'), Zenon (68'), Battaglia (81'), Battaglia (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (64', 64')
Vera (46'), Vera (46'), Gimenez Rojas (85'), Gimenez Rojas (85'), Galdames (86'), Galdames (86'), Rey (88'), Rey (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Lanus (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Guarani
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawIndependiente
40.9% (-1.2 -1.2)28.82% (-0.187 -0.19)30.27% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 44.39% (1.059 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04% (1.025 1.03)61.95% (-1.032 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (0.749 0.75)81.7% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.173 -0.17)29.76% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17% (-0.208 -0.21)65.83% (0.202 0.2)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (1.654 1.65)36.79% (-1.661 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (1.619 1.62)73.58% (-1.626 -1.63)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 40.9%
    Independiente 30.26%
    Draw 28.81%
Boca JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.27% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.95% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.81%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.276 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.168 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 30.26%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
0-0
Independiente
Delgado (30'), Fernandez (34')
Laso (15'), Loyola (81')
Jul 29, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 27
Independiente
0-2
Boca Juniors

Martinez (25'), Baez (26'), Barcia (50'), Marcone (65'), Ortiz (85')
Zeballos (72'), Valentini (77')
Fernandez (36'), Merentiel (62')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Boca Juniors
0-0
Independiente
Oct 23, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
2-2
Independiente
Fernandez (34'), Villa (49')
Fernandez (32' pen.), Vallejo (81')
Feb 27, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Independiente
2-2
Boca Juniors
Togni (31'), Sonora (80')
Romero (20'), Manuel Insaurralde (22'), Benavidez (58')
Benedetto (17' pen., 45')
Fabra (14'), Rojo (22'), Villa (45+2'), Zeballos (90+27'), Advincula (90+28')
Fabra (70')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS


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