Argentine Primera Division

May 20, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
0 - 1
Independiente

Costa (48'), Costa (48'), Zenon (68'), Zenon (68'), Battaglia (81'), Battaglia (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (64', 64')
Vera (46'), Vera (46'), Gimenez Rojas (85'), Gimenez Rojas (85'), Galdames (86'), Galdames (86'), Rey (88'), Rey (88')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Lanus (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Independiente

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Guarani
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Independiente
40.9% ( -1.2)	28.82% ( -0.19)	30.27% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 44.39% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.04% (

1.03)

61.95% (

-1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.29% (

0.75)

81.7% (

-0.76)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

-0.17)

29.76% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17% (

-0.21)

65.83% (

0.2)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

1.65)

36.79% (

-1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

1.62)

73.58% (

-1.63)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 40.9%

Independiente 30.26%

Draw 28.81%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.81%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.84% Total : 30.26%