Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14

May 1, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 0
Independiente

Bajamich (24', 24'), Diaz (87', 87')
Ferrari (31'), Ferrari (31'), Acosta (39'), Acosta (39'), Gonzalez (55'), Gonzalez (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Paredes (4'), Paredes (4'), Fernandez (38'), Fernandez (38'), Valdez (86'), Valdez (86'), Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (90+3'), Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (90+3')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Tucuman
Monday, April 28 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Independiente

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, April 28 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 35.76%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Independiente
35.76% ( 0.08)	29.52% ( 0.04)	34.71% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 43.42% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.42% (

-0.14)

63.58% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.12% (

-0.1)

82.88% (

0.1)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0.02)

33.75% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

-0.02)

70.41% (

0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

-0.15)

34.46% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

-0.17)

71.17% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 35.76%

Independiente 34.71%

Draw 29.51%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.76%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.51%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.71%