May 1, 2025 1.00am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Mateo Bajamich 24'
Mateo Bajamich 24'
Gianluca Ferrari 31'
Gianluca Ferrari 31'
Guillermo Acosta 39'
Guillermo Acosta 39'
Juan Gonzalez 55'
Juan Gonzalez 55'
Leandro Diaz 87'
Leandro Diaz 87'

Franco Paredes 4'
Franco Paredes 4'
Rodrigo Fernandez 38'
Rodrigo Fernandez 38'
Sebastian Valdez 86'
Sebastian Valdez 86'
Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 90'+3'
Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 90'+3'

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
L

Argentine Primera Division

L
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 28, 2025 9.15pm

Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Tucuman

Goals scored

32

Top scorer

Mateo Coronel

Independiente

All competitions

D
L
W
W
D
L

Argentine Primera Division

D
W
D
W
D
W

Last game

Apr 28, 2025 1.15am

Independiente 0 - 0 Deportivo Riestra

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 35.76%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result

Atletico Tucuman 35.76% ▲ (+0.09)

Draw 29.52% ▲ (+0.05)

Independiente 34.71% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score:

43.42% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.42% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 2.5 63.58% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 3.5 17.12% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 3.5 82.88% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 4.5 6.73% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 4.5 93.26% ▲ (+0.06)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 66.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 33.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 29.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 70.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 65.54% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 0.5 34.46% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 1.5 28.82% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 1.5 71.17% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Atletico Tucuman 35.76%

Draw 29.51%

Independiente 34.71%

Atletico Tucuman

1-0 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.07)

2-1 @ 7.31%

2-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.42%

Total : 35.76%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.45%

0-0 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.54%

Total : 29.51%

Independiente

0-1 @ 12.39% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.28%

Total : 34.71%

Head to Head

Dec 10, 2024 12.30am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de America

Gabriel Avalos 14'
Gabriel Avalos 14'
Ivan Marcone 53'
Ivan Marcone 53'
Felipe Loyola 75'
Felipe Loyola 75'

Tomas Castro Ponce 13'
Tomas Castro Ponce 13'
Facundo Sava 14'
Marcelo Estigarribia 17'
Marcelo Estigarribia 17'
Mateo Bajamich 65'
Mateo Bajamich 65'
Facundo Sava 67'
Guillermo Acosta 70'
Guillermo Acosta 70'
Mateo Bajamich 77'
Mateo Bajamich 77'

Mar 31, 2024 10.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Libertadores de America

Ayrton Costa 20'
Mauricio Isla 89'

Mateo Bajamich 34'
Marcelo Estigarribia 45'+6'
Renzo Tesuri 81'
Nicolas Romero 90'+5'

Nov 5, 2023 12.00am

1

2

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Marcelo Estigarribia 19'
Marcelo Estigarribia 19'
Marcelo Ortiz 34'
Marcelo Ortiz 34'
Renzo Tesuri 45'+7'
Renzo Tesuri 45'+7'
Guillermo Acosta 64'
Guillermo Acosta 64'

Kevin Lopez 61'
Kevin Lopez 61'
Joaquin Laso 68'
Joaquin Laso 68'
Joaquin Laso 74'
Joaquin Laso 74'
Cristian Baez 89'
Cristian Baez 89'
Alexis Canelo 90'+4'
Alexis Canelo 90'+4'

Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Marcelo Estigarribia 19'
Braian Guille 23'
Nicolas Romero 41'
Marcelo Ortiz 63'
Ramiro Ruiz 68'
Bruno Bianchi 86'
Bruno Bianchi 90'+5'
Luis Ojeda 90'+7'

Ayrton Costa 45'+4'
Sergio Ortiz 70'
Joaquin Laso 73'
Brian Martinez 90'+4'
Matias Gimenez Rojas 90'+6'

Jul 24, 2022 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Libertadores de AmÃ©rica

Sergio Barreto 31'
Edgarl Elizalde 78'

Augusto Lotti 1'
Ramiro Ruiz 49'
Guillermo Acosta 62'

Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Felipe Campos 44'
Franco Mussis 86'
Renzo Tesuri 87'
Renzo Tesuri 88'

Thomas Ortega 45'+2'
Patricio Ostachuk 56'

Form Data

Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Tucuman

San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Tucuman

Tucuman 3 - 2 Instituto

Platense 2 - 1 Tucuman

Tucuman 1 - 2 Velez Sarsfield

River Plate 1 - 0 Tucuman

Independiente 0 - 0 Deportivo Riestra

Guarani 2 - 1 Independiente

Independiente 2 - 0 San Martin SJ

Independiente 2 - 1 Boston River

Lanus 1 - 1 Independiente

Nacional 2 - 0 Independiente