Argentine Primera Division
May 11, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Lanus


Delgado (58'), Delgado (58'), Rojo (62'), Rojo (62')
FT

Agustin Medina (22'), Agustin Medina (22'), Mendez (42'), Mendez (42'), De Jesus (62'), De Jesus (62')
Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, May 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Melgar 0-1 Lanus
Wednesday, May 7 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.25%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
51.25% (0.796 0.8)28.72% (-0.194 -0.19)20.03% (-0.606 -0.61)
Both teams to score 37.04% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.9% (0.059000000000005 0.06)67.1% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.67% (0.040999999999999 0.04)85.33% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.416 0.42)26.84% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (0.546 0.55)62.14% (-0.551 -0.55)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.62% (-0.649 -0.65)49.37% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78% (-0.463 -0.46)84.22% (0.458 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 51.24%
    Lanus 20.03%
    Draw 28.72%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 17.42% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 51.24%
0-0 @ 13.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.03%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 20
Lanus
1-0
Boca Juniors
Salvio (79')
Javier Rodriguez (30')

Rojo (39'), Medel (90+3'), Medel (90+4'), Figal (90+4')
Feb 19, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 6
Lanus
2-1
Boca Juniors
Bou (14'), Lotti (76')
Boggio (41'), Acosta (62'), Lotti (77'), Carrera (90')
Blondel (90+5')
Fernandez (25'), Campuzano (41'), Bullaude (65')
Sep 23, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Boca Juniors
1-1
Lanus
Janson (34')
Zeballos (65'), Fernandez (72')
Diaz (53')
De la Vega (27'), Lema (69'), Loaiza (85'), Aguirre (89')
Jun 11, 2023 12am
Gameweek 20
Boca Juniors
1-1
Lanus
Benedetto (88')
Medina (34'), Varela (90+4')
Diaz (45+1')
Orozco (49'), Jose Caceres (52'), Lema (84'), Esquivel (85'), Aguirre (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 15, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 19
Lanus
0-1
Boca Juniors