Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.25%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.