Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 7, 2025 at 3am UK

Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin

Melgar
0 - 1
Lanus

Liza (61'), Liza (61'), Ramos (71'), Ramos (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Agustin Medina (84', 84')
Canelo (31'), Canelo (31'), Marcich (36'), Marcich (36'), De Jesus (64'), De Jesus (64'), Losada (78'), Losada (78'), Carrera (90+2'), Carrera (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Lanus

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Lanus
Sunday, May 4 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Lanus
51.42% ( -0.01)	26.71%	21.88% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.77% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.42% (

0.01)

59.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.08% (

0.01)

79.92% (

-0.01)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

23.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.68% (

-0)

57.32% (

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.11% (

0.02)

42.9% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.8% (

0.02)

79.2% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Melgar 51.41%

Lanus 21.88%

Draw 26.7%

Melgar	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.41%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.88%