Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin

Melgar
0 - 1
Lanus


Liza (61'), Liza (61'), Ramos (71'), Ramos (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Agustin Medina (84', 84')
Canelo (31'), Canelo (31'), Marcich (36'), Marcich (36'), De Jesus (64'), De Jesus (64'), Losada (78'), Losada (78'), Carrera (90+2'), Carrera (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lanus

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Lanus
Sunday, May 4 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
MelgarDrawLanus
51.42% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)26.71%21.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.42% (0.012 0.01)59.58% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)79.92% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11% (0.022999999999996 0.02)42.9% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (0.017999999999997 0.02)79.2% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 51.41%
    Lanus 21.88%
    Draw 26.7%
MelgarDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.35%
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Lanus
3-0
Melgar
Moreno (45+1'), Salvio (47'), Orozco (79')
Aquino (37'), Javier Rodriguez (90')

Orzan (34'), Martinez (69')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!