Copa Libertadores
Mar 11, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Joaquín Correa 34' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 46' yellowcard
  • Artur 71' yellowcard
  • Caio Ribeiro do Valle Silva 84' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fernandes 84' yellowcard
  • goal Milton Céliz 8'
  • yellowcard Byron Castillo 34'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Perlaza 46'
  • yellowcard Jonnathan Mina 58'
  • yellowcard Darío Benedetto 58'
  • yellowcard Darío Benedetto 59'
  • yellowcard Jhonnier Chalá 90'+5'

Botafogo vs Barcelona SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 12.30am
Barcelona 1 - 1 Botafogo

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 12.30am
Barcelona 1 - 1 Botafogo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.26% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Botafogo 55.96%
Draw 24.26% (-0.03)
Barcelona SC 19.79% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.95% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.05% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 46.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.26% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.27% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.73%
Over 4.5 14.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.53% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 40.99% (-0.04)
Draw 40.84%
Barcelona SC 18.17% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 62.38% (+0.07)
No Goal 7.86% (-0.02)
Barcelona SC 29.76% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.22% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.81% (-0.01)
Under 8 37.97% (+0.07)
Over 9 38.88% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.34% (-0.02)
Under 9 49.78% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 28.85% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 71.15% (+0.02)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 48.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.92%
Under 2.5 77.08%
Over 3.5 8.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.33% (-0.02)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5 53.65% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 46.35% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 20.23% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.77% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.62%
Under 2.5 94.38%
Over 3.5 1.36%
Under 3.5 98.64%

Score analysis

Botafogo 55.95%
Draw 24.26%
Barcelona SC 19.78%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.27% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 8.65% (+0.01)
Total : 55.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.26%
Barcelona SC
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.78%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Héctor Villalba 22' goal
  • Jandry Gómez 58' yellowcard
  • Sergio Fabián Núñez Rosas 58' yellowcard
  • Jonnathan Mina 64' yellowcard
  • Carlos Montaño 79' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Martins 66'
  • yellowcard L. Villalba 71'
  • yellowcard Arthur Cabral 77'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Correa 86'