Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Aucas win was 0-1 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.