Copa Libertadores
May 28, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Patrik Mercado 64' goal
  • Patrik Mercado 64' goal
  • Renato Ibarra 69' goal
  • Renato Ibarra 69' goal
  • goal Felipe Caicedo 24'
  • goal Felipe Caicedo 24'
  • yellowcard Felipe Caicedo 25'
  • yellowcard Felipe Caicedo 25'
  • yellowcard Anibal Chala 75'
  • yellowcard Anibal Chala 75'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Cortez 84'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Cortez 84'
  • redcard Anibal Chala 87'
  • redcard Anibal Chala 87'

Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 16, 2025 1.30am
River Plate 6 - 2 Independiente

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 15, 2025 3.00am
Universitario 1 - 0 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Independiente del Valle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Independiente del Valle.

Result

Independiente del Valle 60.66% (-0.18)
Draw 22.18% (+0.18)
Barcelona SC 17.16% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.22% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.52% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 48.48% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 29.39% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 70.61% (+0.70)
Over 4.5 14.25% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 85.75% (+0.48)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 84.47% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 15.53% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 55.54% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 44.46% (+0.59)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5 58.27% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 41.73% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 21.8% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 78.2% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 60.64%
Draw 22.17%
Barcelona SC 17.16%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 12.06% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 11.23% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.48% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.17%
Barcelona SC
0-1 @ 5.67% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 17.16%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 2, 2025 3.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Bryan Carabali 5' goal
  • Bryan Carabali 5' goal
  • Dixon Arroyo 31' yellowcard
  • Dixon Arroyo 31' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 61' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 61' yellowcard
  • Jandry Eugenio Gomez Cuero 86' yellowcard
  • Jandry Eugenio Gomez Cuero 86' yellowcard
  • Felipe Caicedo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Felipe Caicedo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Schunke 24'
  • yellowcard Richard Schunke 24'
  • yellowcard Oscar Quinonez 85'
  • yellowcard Oscar Quinonez 85'
Copa Libertadores
Oct 22, 2020 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Jonatan Ortiz 24' goal
  • Luis Segovia 33' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murillo 43' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Torres 60' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Alvez 10'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Orejuela 31'
  • yellowcard Pedro Velasco 86'
Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2020 10.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo
  • Williams Riveros 27' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pinatares 53' yellowcard
  • Dario Aimar 71' yellowcard
  • Mario Pineida 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 45'
  • goal Gabriel Torres 55'
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 58'
  • yellowcard Jorge Pinos 69'
  • goal Ernesto Calle 88'
  • goal Cristian Pellerano 90'