Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guayaquil City win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guayaquil City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (10.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.