Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.75% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%) , while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.