Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.09% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.