Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
Flamengo 3 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw has a probability of 28.09% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.24%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (9.17%).

Result

Santos 44.7% (+1.40)
Draw 28.09% (-0.54)
Atletico Mineiro 27.17% (-0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.42% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.97% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 32.03% (-0.91)
Over 2.5 41.67% (+1.17)
Under 2.5 58.33% (-1.17)
Over 3.5 20.89% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 79.11% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 10.51% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 89.49% (-0.43)

First Half Winner

Santos 33.62% (+1.40)
Draw 43.95% (-0.80)
Atletico Mineiro 22.43% (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Santos 52.27% (+2.04)
No Goal 9.64% (-0.55)
Atletico Mineiro 38.09% (-1.48)

Corners

Over 8 58.98% (-0.62)
Equal 8 11.57% (+0.06)
Under 8 29.45% (+0.56)
Over 9 47.08% (-0.60)
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.02% (+0.62)
Over 10.5 35.86% (-0.54)
Under 10.5 64.14% (+0.54)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 38.24% (+1.59)
Under 1.5 61.76% (-1.59)
Over 2.5 14.61% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 85.39% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 4.48% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 95.52% (-0.43)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 60.34% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 39.66% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 25.16% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 74.84% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.8% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 92.2% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.93%
Under 3.5 98.07%

Score analysis

Santos 44.71%
Draw 28.09%
Atletico Mineiro 27.18%
Santos
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 8.6% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.76% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 3.75% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.40)
Total : 44.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 9.64% (-0.55)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 28.09%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.34)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.89% (-0.04)
Total : 27.18%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 17, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Ze Ivaldo 24' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 24' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 27' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 27' goal
  • Gil 61' yellowcard
  • Gil 61' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Hulk 77'
  • yellowcard Hulk 77'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Paulinho 12' goal
  • Otavio 38' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 67' goal
  • Mariano 72' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Hulk 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 86'
  • yellowcard Lucas Braga 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 23, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 6, 2022 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcos Leonardo 88' goal
  • goal Hulk 72'
  • goal Ignacio Fernandez 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 11, 2022 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Savio 6' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 64' yellowcard
  • Jair 77' yellowcard
  • Allan Rodrigues de Souza 78' yellowcard
  • Everson 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Lucas Pires 60'
  • yellowcard Angelo Gabriel 78'
  • yellowcard Joao Paulo 80'
  • goal Rwan Seco 83'
  • yellowcard Auro 90'