Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.03% and a win for Santos had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.38%) and 2-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.