Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.97% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.