Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Deportivo Recoleta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Cuenca 1 - 0 Santos

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 1 San Lorenzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw has a probability of 26.16% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta has a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it is 0-1 (7.73%).

Result

Santos 54.96% (+0.08)
Draw 26.16%
Deportivo Recoleta 18.88% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.71% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 33% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 40.78% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 59.22% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 20.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.55% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.31% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.69% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Santos 39.82%
Draw 42.4%
Deportivo Recoleta 17.78%

Team To Score First

Santos 60.06% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.02% (+0.04)
Deportivo Recoleta 29.92% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.62% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 33.97% (-0.07)
Over 9 43.28% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.38% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 32.9% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 67.1% (-0.05)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 44.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.26% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.84% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.22% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.78% (+0.02)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 50.51% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 49.49% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 17.16% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 82.84% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 4.13% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 95.87% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.88% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Santos 54.96%
Draw 26.16%
Deportivo Recoleta 18.88%
Santos
1-0 @ 15.25% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 11.23% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 7.18%
Total : 54.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.02% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 26.16%
Deportivo Recoleta
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.88%