Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Neymar  4' goal
  • Miguelito 64' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Rollheiser 64' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 64' yellowcard
  • Rafael Gonzaga 75' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Díaz 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Junior Noguera 60'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Medina 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Núñez 72'
  • yellowcard Claudio Garay 84'
  • yellowcard Mathías Masi 84'

Santos vs Deportivo Recoleta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Cuenca 1 - 0 Santos

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 1 San Lorenzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.97% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Santos 55.08% (-0.15)
Draw 25.97% (+0.04)
Deportivo Recoleta 18.98% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.35% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 41.95% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 58.05% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 21.11% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.89% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.64% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.36% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Santos 38.43%
Draw 43.54%
Deportivo Recoleta 18.02%

Team To Score First

Santos 60% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.56%
Deportivo Recoleta 30.44% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.35% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.58% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.08% (-0.03)
Over 9 41.95% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.4% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.65% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 31.63% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 68.37% (-0.01)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 45.43% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 54.57% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 20.27% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.73% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.27% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.73% (+0.03)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 51.42% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 48.58% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 17.78% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 82.22% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 4.4% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 95.6% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 0.96% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.04% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Santos 55.08%
Draw 25.97%
Deportivo Recoleta 18.98%
Santos
1-0 @ 14.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 7.21% (-0.03)
Total : 55.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 3.71% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.97%
Deportivo Recoleta
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.74% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.9% (+0.03)
Total : 18.98%