Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.