Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.