Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 10.30pm
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 11.30pm
Corinthians 0 - 1 Internacional
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Corinthians has a probability of 29.06% and a draw has a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 1-0 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.11%).

Result

Corinthians 29.06% (-0.09)
Draw 28.1% (-0.03)
Palmeiras 42.84% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.39% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.94% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 43.34% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 56.66% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 21.79% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.21% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.16% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.84% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 26.51%
Draw 45.39%
Palmeiras 28.11%

Team To Score First

Corinthians 44.59% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.41% (-0.02)
Palmeiras 46% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.28% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 25.79% (+0.01)
Over 9 51.64%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 36.72% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.28% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 59.72% (+0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 27.1% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.9% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 8.66% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.23% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.77% (+0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 72.31% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.69% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.81% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 62.19% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15.1% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.9% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4.9% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.1% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Corinthians 29.06%
Draw 28.09%
Palmeiras 42.83%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 29.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 28.09%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 12.06% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.75% (+0.05)
Total : 42.83%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 7, 2025 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Jul 31, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 14' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 19' goal
  • Richard Rios 22' yellowcard
  • Weverton 27' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 31' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 38' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Micael 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 4'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 23'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 27'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 27'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 4, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Hugo 37' yellowcard
  • Hugo 37' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 41' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 41' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 56' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 56' goal
  • Matheuzinho 60' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 67'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 67'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 81'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 81'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2024 12.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Abel Ferreira 34' yellowcard
  • Abel Ferreira 34' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 37' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 37' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 43' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 43' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 53' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 53' goal
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 57' goal
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 57' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 63' redcard
  • Raphael Veiga 63' redcard
  • Gabriel Menino 70' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raniele 33'
  • yellowcard Raniele 33'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 63'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 63'
  • yellowcard Breno Bidon 85'
  • yellowcard Breno Bidon 85'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 90'+3'