Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 11.30pm
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
Bahia 3 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Everaldo

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 1.30am
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Palmeiras has a probability of 26.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Bahia 47.14% (-0.21)
Draw 25.97% (+0.03)
Palmeiras 26.89% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.21% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.9% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 26.1% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 49.21% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 50.75% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 26.74% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 73.26% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 14.72% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 85.28% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Bahia 39.38%
Draw 39.29%
Palmeiras 21.33%

Team To Score First

Bahia 57.56% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.4% (+0.07)
Palmeiras 35.04% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.93% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.67%
Under 8 27.4% (-0.09)
Over 9 50.72% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.07% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 39.87% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 60.13% (-0.06)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 44.1% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 55.9% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 19.27% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 80.73% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 6.9% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.1% (+0.07)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 62.24% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 37.76% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 28.23% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.77% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.61% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.39% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.35% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Bahia 47.13%
Draw 25.97%
Palmeiras 26.9%
Bahia
1-0 @ 11.13% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.04)
Other @ 6.72% (-0.08)
Total : 47.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.97%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47% (+0.03)
Total : 26.9%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 54' yellowcard
  • goal Kayky 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2024 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Luciano Rodriguez 27' goal
  • Gilberto 75' yellowcard
  • goal Raphael Veiga 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 71'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • 40' goal
  • Estevao Willian 45'+3' goal
  • Rony 61' goal
  • Rony 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanu 19'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 28, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Raphael Veiga 38' goal
  • Fabinho 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 9'
  • yellowcard Kanu 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 77'
  • redcard Nicolas Acevedo 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Thaciano 90'+3' goal
  • Thaciano 90'+3' goal