Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.