Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 12.00am
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 11.30pm
Bragantino 1 - 2 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 9.30pm
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Palmeiras has a probability of 28.36% and a draw has a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.22%).

Result

Sao Paulo 45.85%
Draw 25.79% (-0.04)
Palmeiras 28.36% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.8% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.34% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.66% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.19% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.06% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.94% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.3% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.7% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 32.28%
Draw 42.99%
Palmeiras 24.73%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 53.3% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.87% (-0.02)
Palmeiras 39.83% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.58% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.56%
Under 8 23.86% (-0.02)
Over 9 54.13% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 34.42% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 42.76% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 57.24% (-0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 44.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.64% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.63% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.99% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.01% (-0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 64.48% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.52% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.48% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.52% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.8% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.2% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.7% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 45.85%
Draw 25.8%
Palmeiras 28.37%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 6.88% (+0.02)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.19% (+0.03)
Total : 28.37%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Vila Porto
  • Abel Ferreira 62' redcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 85' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ruan 31'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 55' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+12' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 90'+15' redcard
  • yellowcard Sabino 43'
  • goal Luciano 72'
  • yellowcard Luciano 74'
  • redcard Luciano 90'+6'
  • redcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 30, 2024 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
Copa do Brasil
Jul 14, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 34' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 34' goal
  • goal Caio Paulista 49'
  • goal Caio Paulista 49'
  • goal David 89'
  • goal David 89'