Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.