Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wendell 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 46' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 46' yellowcard
  • André Silva 79' yellowcard
  • Ferreirinha 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Arias 6'
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 60'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martínez 63'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 77'
  • yellowcard Ramón Sosa 77'

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 11.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 10.00pm
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 46.42%
Draw 25.76%
Palmeiras 27.79% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.24% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 24.76% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 51.09% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.91% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.96% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.04% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.24% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.76% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 32.28%
Draw 42.99%
Palmeiras 24.73%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 53.29%
No Goal 6.89%
Palmeiras 39.82%

Corners

Over 8 65.58%
Equal 8 10.56%
Under 8 23.87%
Over 9 54.12% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 34.42%
Over 10.5 42.76%
Under 10.5 57.24%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 44.76%
Under 1.5 55.24%
Over 2.5 19.94% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.06% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.16%
Under 3.5 92.84%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 63.95% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.05% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.91% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.09% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.44% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.86% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 46.43%
Draw 25.75%
Palmeiras 27.79%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.05%
Total : 46.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.75%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.03% (-0.02)
Total : 27.79%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Vila Porto
  • Abel Ferreira 62' redcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 85' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ruan 31'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 55' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+12' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 90'+15' redcard
  • yellowcard Sabino 43'
  • goal Luciano 72'
  • yellowcard Luciano 74'
  • redcard Luciano 90'+6'
  • redcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 30, 2024 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
Copa do Brasil
Jul 14, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 34' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 34' goal
  • goal Caio Paulista 49'
  • goal Caio Paulista 49'
  • goal David 89'
  • goal David 89'