Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 1.30am
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 12.00am
Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Vasco 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.12%. A draw has a probability of 22.28% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 14.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.61%) , while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (5.61%).

Result

Palmeiras 63.12%
Draw 22.28% (+0.04)
Gremio 14.6% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.52% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.53% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.47% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.48% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.52% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.34% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.66% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.21%
Under 4.5 84.79%

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 43.95%
Draw 37.82%
Gremio 18.23%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 64.11% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.63% (+0.02)
Gremio 28.26%

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 27.03% (+0.02)
Over 9 49.44%
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 38.5% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 37.86% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 62.14% (+0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 53.72% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.28% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.86% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.86%
Under 3.5 89.14%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 47.58% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 52.42% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 15.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 84.51% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 3.32% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.68% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.69%
Under 3.5 99.31%

Score analysis

Palmeiras 63.13%
Draw 22.29%
Gremio 14.59%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.24% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.27% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.2% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.85%
Total : 63.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.63% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.29%
Gremio
0-1 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 14.59%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 26, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carlos Vinicius 25' yellowcard
  • Marlon 34' yellowcard
  • Francis Amuzu 45'+3' goal
  • Carlos Vinicius 61' goal
  • Francis Amuzu 76' yellowcard
  • Willian 85' goal
  • goal Facundo Torres 24'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 60'
  • yellowcard Facundo Torres 66'
  • yellowcard Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 78'
  • yellowcard Agustin Giay 81'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 83'
  • redcard Agustin Giay 84'
  • goal Luis Gustavo Roncholeta Benedetti 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 27, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Murilo Cerqueira 16' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 16' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 32' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 32' yellowcard
  • 35' goal
  • Estevao Willian 73' goal
  • Estevao Willian 73' goal
  • Estevao Willian 74' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 74' yellowcard
  • Richard Rios 86' yellowcard
  • Richard Rios 86' yellowcard
  • Mayke 88' yellowcard
  • Mayke 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jemerson 26'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 26'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 28'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 28'
  • yellowcard Miguel Monsalve 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Miguel Monsalve 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Cristian Pavon 2' goal
  • Franco Cristaldo 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 71' yellowcard
  • Jhonata Robert 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 37'
  • yellowcard Kaiky Naves 41'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 55'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 74'
  • goal Estevao Willian 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 22, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Joao Pedro 9' goal
  • Joao Pedro 9' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 34' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Ely 34' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 59' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 59' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 86' redcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 86' redcard
  • Gabriel Grando 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Grando 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mayke 63'
  • yellowcard Mayke 63'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Raphael Veiga 23' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 24' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 56' goal
  • Mayke 68' goal
  • Luan Garcia 73' goal
  • goal Bitello 45'+2'