Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.65% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%) , while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.