Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 10, 2026 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Maximiliano Lovera 18' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Olivera 20' goal
  • Alexis Zapata 44' yellowcard
  • Kilian Toscano 46' yellowcard
  • Andrés Mosquera 46' yellowcard
  • Weimar Asprilla 46' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagúndez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Arezo 59'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 62'
  • yellowcard Gastón Togni 70'
  • yellowcard Facundo Batista 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Umpiérrez 77'

Santa Fe vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions

Penarol

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (10.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Santa Fe 38.45%
Draw 26.55% (-0.08)
Penarol 34.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.98% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.97% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 31.03% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 43.29% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.71% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.38% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.62% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.93% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 88.07% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Santa Fe 26.58%
Draw 43.07%
Penarol 30.34%

Team To Score First

Santa Fe 41.85% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.19% (-0.06)
Penarol 48.96% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.79% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.94% (-0.03)
Under 8 37.27% (+0.16)
Over 9 39.28% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.03)
Under 9 49.21% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 29.07% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 70.93% (+0.08)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 1.5 34.43% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.57% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.38% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.62% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.23% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.77% (-0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 65.21% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.79% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.07% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.93% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 11.26% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.74% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.35% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.65% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Santa Fe 38.45%
Draw 26.54%
Penarol 34.98%
Santa Fe
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.69% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.16% (+0.04)
Total : 38.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.19% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.54%
Penarol
0-1 @ 10.83% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28% (+0.01)
Total : 34.98%