Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 8.00pm
Arena Condá

Chapecoense vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 11.00pm
Chapecoense 0 - 4 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chapecoense win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw has a probability of 27.24% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (8.12%).

Result

Chapecoense 51.86% (+0.48)
Draw 27.24% (-0.21)
Vitoria 20.9% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.16% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.34% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 32.66% (-0.93)
Over 2.5 41.57% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 58.43% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 20.81% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 79.19% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 11.02% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.98% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 39.24% (+0.95)
Draw 42.08% (+0.16)
Vitoria 18.67% (-1.11)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 59.35% (+1.11)
No Goal 10.05% (-0.57)
Vitoria 30.6% (-0.53)

Corners

Over 8 70.31% (+1.33)
Equal 8 9.78% (-0.25)
Under 8 19.91% (-1.09)
Over 9 59.25% (+1.48)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.16)
Under 9 29.69% (-1.33)
Over 10.5 47.82% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 52.17% (-1.51)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 43.19% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 56.81% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 18.45% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 81.55% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.11)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 54.1% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 45.9% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 19.55% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 80.45% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 5.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.88% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 51.88%
Draw 27.24%
Vitoria 20.89%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 14.5% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 10.05% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.35)
3-0 @ 5.15% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.4% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.16% (-0.13)
Total : 51.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.57)
2-2 @ 4.04% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.03)
Total : 27.24%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 5.12% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.35% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 14, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Osman 52' yellowcard
  • Amaral 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Ruschel 61' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Fernandes 38'
  • yellowcard Leo Gomes 54'
  • yellowcard Ramon 74'
Brasileiro
Jun 6, 2018 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Meira Neilton 62' goal
  • Kanu 65' yellowcard
  • Meira Neilton 84' yellowcard
  • Andre Lima 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Thyere 91'
  • yellowcard Arthur 92'