Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.41% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.