Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 8.00pm
Chapecoense 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 10.30pm
Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 30.24% and a draw has a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win is 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.08%).

Result

Vitoria 42.25% (+0.87)
Draw 27.51% (-0.54)
Sao Paulo 30.24% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.04% (+1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.87% (+1.72)
Under 1.5 30.13% (-1.73)
Over 2.5 44.19% (+2.08)
Under 2.5 55.81% (-2.08)
Over 3.5 22.89% (+1.72)
Under 3.5 77.11% (-1.71)
Over 4.5 11.89% (+1.13)
Under 4.5 88.11% (-1.13)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 34.96% (+0.17)
Draw 44.98% (-0.07)
Sao Paulo 20.06% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 56% (+0.58)
No Goal 8.89% (-0.72)
Sao Paulo 35.11% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 60.2% (+1.06)
Equal 8 11.41% (-0.23)
Under 8 28.39% (-0.83)
Over 9 48.36% (+1.18)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.13)
Under 9 39.8% (-1.06)
Over 10.5 37.13% (+1.20)
Under 10.5 62.87% (-1.20)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 37.6% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-1.84)
Over 2.5 14.41% (+1.33)
Under 2.5 85.59% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 4.41% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 95.59% (-0.57)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 36.3% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 28.75% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 71.25% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 9.88% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 90.12% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 2.73% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.27% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Vitoria 42.25%
Draw 27.5%
Sao Paulo 30.25%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12% (-0.50)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.39% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.23)
Other @ 4.38% (+0.57)
Total : 42.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.72)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.27)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 27.5%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.98% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.14)
Other @ 2.7% (+0.15)
Total : 30.25%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Camutanga 20' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baralhas 68' goal
  • Gabriel Baralhas 70' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 86' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • Ronald 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferreira 42'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • William Gomes Carvalho Santos 6' goal
  • Erick 30' goal
  • goal Alerrandro 62'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 86'
  • yellowcard Jose Hugo 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Wagner Leonardo 7' redcard
  • Bruno Uvini 25' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 49' goal
  • Lucas Esteves 60' yellowcard
  • Dudu 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Bobadilla 14'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 36'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 36'
  • goal Luciano 45'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 45'
  • goal Luciano 53'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 82'
  • goal Nahuel Ferraresi 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 26, 2018 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Riberio 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hudson 32'
  • goal Bruno Alves 37'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 45'
  • redcard Jean 95'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 13, 2018 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Nene 21' goal
  • Nene 36' yellowcard
  • Nene 42' goal
  • Lucas Fernandes 45' yellowcard
  • Everton 54' goal
  • Jucilei 61' yellowcard
  • Hudson 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Bruno 15'
  • yellowcard Neilton 35'
  • redcard Yago 35'
  • yellowcard Rhayner 36'