Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Vitoria
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
Sao Paulo
  • Cacá 35' goal
  • Zé Vitor 66' yellowcard
  • Zé Vitor 68' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 71' yellowcard
  • Renê 71' yellowcard
  • Renê 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 73' yellowcard
  • Ramon 83' goal
  • Ronald 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cédric Soares 57'
  • yellowcard Tetê 57'
  • yellowcard Wendell 66'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 66'
  • yellowcard Lucca 78'
  • yellowcard Lucca 79'

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 8.00pm
Chapecoense 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 10.30pm
Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 42.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.51%
Sao Paulo 30.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.04%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.19%
Under 2.5 55.81%
Over 3.5 22.89%
Under 3.5 77.11%
Over 4.5 11.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.12% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 34.96%
Draw 44.98%
Sao Paulo 20.06%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 56%
No Goal 8.89%
Sao Paulo 35.11%

Corners

Over 8 60.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 28.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 48.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 39.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 37.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 37.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 63.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 28.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria 42.31%
Draw 27.5%
Sao Paulo 30.17%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.5%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.17%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Vitoria
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Camutanga 20' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baralhas 68' goal
  • Gabriel Baralhas 70' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 86' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • Ronald 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferreira 42'
Brasileiro
Sao Paulo
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Vitoria
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
Aug 25, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Vitoria
  • William Gomes Carvalho Santos 6' goal
  • Erick 30' goal
  • goal Alerrandro 62'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 86'
  • yellowcard Jose Hugo 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Vitoria
May 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
Sao Paulo
  • Wagner Leonardo 7' redcard
  • Bruno Uvini 25' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 49' goal
  • Lucas Esteves 60' yellowcard
  • Dudu 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Bobadilla 14'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 36'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 36'
  • goal Luciano 45'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 45'
  • goal Luciano 53'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 82'
  • goal Nahuel Ferraresi 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Vitoria
Oct 26, 2018 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Lucas Riberio 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hudson 32'
  • goal Bruno Alves 37'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 45'
  • redcard Jean 95'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
Jun 13, 2018 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Vitoria
  • Nene 21' goal
  • Nene 36' yellowcard
  • Nene 42' goal
  • Lucas Fernandes 45' yellowcard
  • Everton 54' goal
  • Jucilei 61' yellowcard
  • Hudson 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Bruno 15'
  • yellowcard Neilton 35'
  • redcard Yago 35'
  • yellowcard Rhayner 36'

Form Data

Chapecoense 1 - 1 Vitoria
Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Vitoria
Vitoria 1 - 0 Mirassol
Gremio 2 - 0 Vitoria
Vitoria 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Bahia 1 - 1 Vitoria
Boston River 0 - 1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Cruzeiro
Internacional 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Bragantino 1 - 2 Sao Paulo