Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Centenario

Boston River vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.52%. A draw has a probability of 29.12% and a win for Boston River has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.22%) , while for a Boston River win it is 1-0 (10.02%).

Result

Boston River 26.4% (+1.70)
Draw 29.12% (+0.02)
Sao Paulo 44.52% (-1.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.33% (+1.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.74% (+1.72)
Under 1.5 35.26% (-1.72)
Over 2.5 38.18% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 61.82% (-1.53)
Over 3.5 18.82% (+1.15)
Under 3.5 81.15% (-1.18)
Over 4.5 9.46% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 90.54% (-0.50)

First Half Winner

Boston River 25.58% (+1.82)
Draw 48.03% (-0.15)
Sao Paulo 26.39% (-1.68)

Team To Score First

Boston River 42.49% (+3.07)
No Goal 11.27% (-0.77)
Sao Paulo 46.24% (-2.30)

Corners

Over 8 46.71% (+1.33)
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 41.28% (-1.33)
Over 9 35.49% (+1.22)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.13)
Under 9 53.29% (-1.33)
Over 10.5 25.84% (+1.02)
Under 10.5 74.16% (-1.03)

Boston River Goals

Over 1.5 22.79% (+2.04)
Under 1.5 77.21% (-2.05)
Over 2.5 6.45% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 93.55% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 1.54% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 98.46% (-0.23)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 28.75% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 36.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.01% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 85.99% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 4.43% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.57% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Boston River 26.39%
Draw 29.12%
Sao Paulo 44.52%
Boston River
1-0 @ 10.02% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 5.91% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 4.6% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 1.78% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 1.39% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.19% (+0.19)
Other @ 1.5% (+0.26)
Total : 26.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (+0.41)
0-0 @ 11.27% (-0.77)
2-2 @ 4.04% (+0.42)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.04)
Total : 29.12%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 14% (-1.07)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.53)
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.54% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.79% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.39% (-0.03)
Total : 44.52%