Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Alexander González 62' yellowcard
  • Franco Pérez 62' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancebo 69' yellowcard
  • Gastón Ramírez 69' yellowcard
  • Juan Acosta 83' yellowcard
  • goal Damián Bobadilla 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maia 68'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 68'
  • yellowcard Artur 68'
  • yellowcard Rafael Tolói 74'
  • yellowcard Tetê 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Ferreira 88'

Boston River vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.12% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%) , while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result

Boston River 26.4%
Draw 29.12%
Sao Paulo 44.45% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.25% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.6% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 35.4% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 38.07% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 61.93% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 18.75% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 81.25% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 9.41% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.59% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Boston River 25.59% (+0.02)
Draw 48.03%
Sao Paulo 26.37% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Boston River 42.45% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.29% (+0.02)
Sao Paulo 46.26% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.7% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 41.29% (+0.01)
Over 9 35.48% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 53.3% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 25.83% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.17% (+0.02)

Boston River Goals

Over 1.5 22.74% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.26% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 6.44% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.47% (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 71.15% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.85% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 36.21% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 63.79% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 13.93% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.07% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.39% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.61% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Boston River 26.38%
Draw 29.11%
Sao Paulo 44.46%
Boston River
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 26.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 29.11%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 14.04% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.36% (-0.03)
Total : 44.46%