Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.12% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%) , while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.