Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.