Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 4, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 11.30pm
Internacional 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 28.01% and a draw has a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 0-1 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result

Sao Paulo 46.82% (-0.71)
Draw 25.17% (-0.10)
Cruzeiro 28.01% (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% (+1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.17% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 23.83% (-0.64)
Over 2.5 53% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 47% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 31.35% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 68.65% (-1.23)
Over 4.5 18.32% (+1.00)
Under 4.5 81.68% (-0.99)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 32.71%
Draw 43.6%
Cruzeiro 23.7%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 54.18% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.58% (-0.21)
Cruzeiro 39.24% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 60.19%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 28.98%
Over 9 48.95%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 39.81%
Over 10.5 38.21%
Under 10.5 61.79%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 46.02% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.98% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 21.3% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 78.7% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 8.27% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 91.73% (-0.19)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 63.92% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 36.08% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 30.84% (+1.27)
Under 1.5 69.16% (-1.28)
Over 2.5 11.46% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 88.54% (-0.92)
Over 3.5 3.56% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 96.44% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 46.82%
Draw 25.17%
Cruzeiro 28%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.35)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.11% (+0.16)
Total : 46.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.03)
Total : 25.17%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.7% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.4% (+0.43)
Total : 28%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Alisson 27' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 52' goal
  • Enzo Diaz 57' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 61' yellowcard
  • Marcos Antonio 78' yellowcard
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 27'
  • yellowcard Kaio Jorge 51'
  • goal Kaio Jorge 65'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 81'
  • yellowcard Fagner 84'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 19' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Veron 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 5'
  • yellowcard Luis Zubeldia 6'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 43'
  • goal William Gomes Carvalho Santos 59'
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 5' goal
  • Luis Zubeldia 14' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 48' goal
  • Alan Franco 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Alisson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 13'
  • redcard Marlon 38'
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 63'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 2, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Alisson 36' goal
  • Lucas Beraldo 72' yellowcard
  • Luciano 84' goal
  • yellowcard William 49'
  • yellowcard Anderson Paixao 56'
  • redcard Anderson Paixao 56'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Rafinha 3' goal
  • Rafinha 3' goal